Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.730984 1.990516 2.275810 2.612728 2.999829 3.430790 3.947195
2025-06-08 1.329178 1.659036 2.052095 2.555158 3.182360 3.939239 4.923167
2025-06-15 1.136597 1.522705 2.015972 2.692764 3.598375 4.770188 6.405024
2025-06-22 0.959466 1.368380 1.923940 2.734610 3.889432 5.478963 7.839992
2025-06-29 0.804457 1.213391 1.800444 2.705674 4.069642 6.054045 9.172268
2025-07-06 0.660257 1.047624 1.632120 2.579584 4.081630 6.379451 10.179288
2025-07-13 0.599045 0.995809 1.622548 2.686305 4.453516 7.284952 12.192885
2025-07-20 0.551826 0.957691 1.626553 2.811191 4.866399 8.303399 14.526793
2025-07-27 0.505521 0.913236 1.612190 2.900250 5.227036 9.276814 16.914707
2025-08-03 0.458129 0.859328 1.573023 2.938138 5.499412 10.127628 19.196972
2025-08-10 0.401055 0.779339 1.476080 2.856285 5.539951 10.563548 20.769079
2025-08-17 0.344594 0.692371 1.354320 2.709784 5.435833 10.712062 21.803089
2025-08-24 0.309188 0.643032 1.300388 2.693328 5.594198 11.405979 24.061922
2025-08-31 0.274386 0.590042 1.232352 2.639346 5.670302 11.949451 26.099995
2025-09-07 0.262802 0.583855 1.258432 2.784772 6.183242 13.457760 30.409949
2025-09-14 0.243342 0.557823 1.239270 2.829960 6.486048 14.562098 33.999072
2025-09-21 0.220231 0.520292 1.190057 2.801092 6.618985 15.311870 36.893997
2025-09-28 0.192697 0.468616 1.102292 2.671126 6.500017 15.475711 38.436759
2025-10-05 0.184427 0.461443 1.115686 2.782010 6.968156 17.066503 43.671023
2025-10-12 0.177801 0.457321 1.135654 2.911584 7.500240 18.882105 49.738812
2025-10-19 0.169409 0.447551 1.140547 3.003967 7.951699 20.560166 55.705096
2025-10-26 0.158884 0.430771 1.125688 3.043292 8.271256 21.947439 61.110289
2025-11-02 0.143376 0.398575 1.067089 2.958535 8.248473 22.441293 64.156242